From d9f29ce130d52d74513cab22f74477f59f872608 Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001
From: Damien OLIVIER <damien.olivier@univ-lehavre.fr>
Date: Mon, 6 Apr 2020 13:04:42 +0200
Subject: [PATCH] Correction bug
---
codes/Epidemio/COVID-19/SIR-COVID19_V0.nlogo | 6 +-
codes/Epidemio/COVID-19/SIR-COVID19_V2.nlogo | 887 ++++++++++++++++++
.../COVID-19/SIR-COVID19_V2Equilibre.nlogo | 872 +++++++++++++++++
codes/Epidemio/COVID-19/SIR_COVID19.ods | Bin 0 -> 73965 bytes
.../Epidemio/COVID-19/Web/SIR-COVID19_V0.html | 11 +-
5 files changed, 1765 insertions(+), 11 deletions(-)
create mode 100644 codes/Epidemio/COVID-19/SIR-COVID19_V2.nlogo
create mode 100644 codes/Epidemio/COVID-19/SIR-COVID19_V2Equilibre.nlogo
create mode 100644 codes/Epidemio/COVID-19/SIR_COVID19.ods
diff --git a/codes/Epidemio/COVID-19/SIR-COVID19_V0.nlogo b/codes/Epidemio/COVID-19/SIR-COVID19_V0.nlogo
index 5cfbe60..8659189 100644
--- a/codes/Epidemio/COVID-19/SIR-COVID19_V0.nlogo
+++ b/codes/Epidemio/COVID-19/SIR-COVID19_V0.nlogo
@@ -1,5 +1,4 @@
-
;======================================
; Initialisation de nos pauvres tortues
;======================================
@@ -101,7 +100,6 @@ to execute
bouge
tick
end
-
@#$#@#$#@
GRAPHICS-WINDOW
253
@@ -288,8 +286,8 @@ PLOT
1236
447
Évolution de l'infection
-Temps
-%
+Temps en jour
+% individus
0.0
10.0
0.0
diff --git a/codes/Epidemio/COVID-19/SIR-COVID19_V2.nlogo b/codes/Epidemio/COVID-19/SIR-COVID19_V2.nlogo
new file mode 100644
index 0000000..0c27652
--- /dev/null
+++ b/codes/Epidemio/COVID-19/SIR-COVID19_V2.nlogo
@@ -0,0 +1,887 @@
+;
+; Le variables globales
+; max-infectes : on compte le nombre de malade
+;
+globals [
+ initialisation?
+ max-infectes
+ cumul-contacts
+ total-infectees
+ nb-confinees
+]
+
+turtles-own[
+ futur-etat
+ duree-maladie
+ confine?
+]
+
+;======================================
+; Initialisation de nos pauvres tortues
+;======================================
+
+;
+; Initialisation des tortues
+; - la couleur code l'état blanche = S, rouge = I, vert = R
+; - position aléatoire
+; - non infectée (blanche)
+to initialisation-tortues
+ create-turtles population-initiale [
+ set futur-etat white
+ set size 0.5
+ set duree-maladie 0
+ set confine? false
+ setxy random-pxcor random-pycor
+ ]
+end
+
+;
+; On tire au hasard nb-premiere-infectee tortues.
+; Leur état change donc.
+;
+to souche-infection
+ ask n-of nb-premiere-infectee turtles [
+ set futur-etat red
+ ]
+ set total-infectees nb-premiere-infectee
+end
+
+to initialisation
+ ca
+ if (alea-fixe) [random-seed 19]
+ set max-infectes 0
+ set cumul-contacts 0
+ set nb-confinees 0
+ set total-infectees 0
+ initialisation-tortues
+ souche-infection
+ maj-etat
+ set initialisation? true
+ reset-ticks
+end
+
+to reset
+ ask turtles [die]
+ set max-infectes 0
+ set cumul-contacts 0
+ set nb-confinees 0
+ set total-infectees 0
+ initialisation-tortues
+ souche-infection
+ maj-etat
+ reset-ticks
+end
+
+
+;=============================
+; La simulation, le modèle SIR
+;=============================
+
+;
+; Déplacement des tortues. On pourrait avoir un déplacement plus sophistiqué.
+;
+to bouge
+ ask turtles [
+ if (not confine?) [
+ right random 360
+ forward pas
+ ]
+ ]
+end
+
+;
+; Contamination S -> I
+; On compte le nombre de voisines infectées en fonction de la distance
+; La contamination se fait en fonction d'une probabilité
+;
+to infection-des-saines
+ let nb-nouv-infectees 0
+ ask turtles with [color = white and not confine?] [
+ let nombre-de-voisines-infectees (count other turtles with [color = red] in-radius distance-non-sociale)
+ if (random-float 1 < 1 - (((1 - proba-de-transmission) ^ nombre-de-voisines-infectees)))
+ [
+ set futur-etat red
+ ]
+ ]
+end
+
+;
+; Les infectées sortent de la maladie, elles deviennent remise I -> R
+;
+to fin-maladie
+ ask turtles with [color = red]
+ [
+ if (duree-maladie > duree-contagion) [ set futur-etat green]
+ ]
+end
+
+
+;=============================
+; Informations sur l'évolution
+;=============================
+to maj-etat
+ set total-infectees total-infectees + count turtles with [ color != red and futur-etat = red]
+ ask turtles [
+ set color futur-etat
+ if (color = red) [set duree-maladie duree-maladie + 1]
+ if (debut) [
+ if (random-float 1 < confinement / 100) [
+ set confine? true
+ set shape "x"
+ set nb-confinees nb-confinees + 1
+ ]
+ ]
+ ]
+ set debut false
+end
+
+to maj-nb-contacts
+ let cumul 0
+ ask turtles with [color = red]
+ [
+ set cumul cumul + count turtles with [color = white] in-radius distance-non-sociale
+ ]
+ set cumul-contacts cumul
+end
+
+to-report prop-max-infecte
+ report max-infectes * 100 / population-initiale
+end
+
+to-report en-bonne-sante
+ report (count turtles with [color = white or color = green]) * 100 / population-initiale
+end
+
+to-report nb-contacts-moyen-par-tick
+ let n count turtles with [color = red]
+ if-else (n = 0)
+ [ report 0 ]
+ [ report cumul-contacts / n]
+end
+
+
+to-report R0
+ report nb-contacts-moyen-par-tick * proba-de-transmission * duree-contagion
+end
+
+;
+; Lancement de la simulation
+;
+to execute
+ let n count turtles with [color = red]
+ if (n = 0) or (n = population-initiale) [stop]
+ infection-des-saines
+ fin-maladie
+ maj-etat
+ let nb-infectes (count turtles with [color = red])
+ if (nb-infectes > max-infectes) [set max-infectes nb-infectes]
+ maj-nb-contacts
+ bouge
+ tick
+end
+@#$#@#$#@
+GRAPHICS-WINDOW
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+-1
+13.0
+1
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+1
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+
+BUTTON
+20
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+138
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+initialisation
+ifelse initialisation? = true [reset] [initialisation]
+NIL
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+OBSERVER
+NIL
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+NIL
+NIL
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+
+BUTTON
+21
+63
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+execute
+T
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+T
+OBSERVER
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+
+SLIDER
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+population-initiale
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+
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+
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+
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+distance-non-sociale
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+
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+
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+proba-de-transmission
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+
+BUTTON
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+pas à pas
+execute
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+
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+duree-contagion
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+
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+Évolution de l'infection
+Temps
+%
+0.0
+10.0
+0.0
+1.0
+true
+true
+"" ""
+PENS
+"Infectés" 1.0 0 -5298144 true "" "plotxy ticks 100 * (count turtles with [color = red]) / population-initiale\n"
+"Sains" 1.0 2 -16777216 true "" "plotxy ticks 100 * (count turtles with [color = white]) / population-initiale"
+"Remis" 1.0 2 -10899396 true "" "plotxy ticks 100 * (count turtles with [color = green]) / population-initiale"
+
+MONITOR
+17
+422
+210
+467
+% population en bonne santé
+en-bonne-sante
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+
+MONITOR
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+% maximale d'individus infectés
+prop-max-infecte
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+1
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+
+MONITOR
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+nb de contact moyen par infecté
+nb-contacts-moyen-par-tick
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+
+MONITOR
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+NIL
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+
+PLOT
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+1236
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+Évolution de R0
+temps
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+0.0
+10.0
+0.0
+10.0
+true
+true
+"" ""
+PENS
+"RO" 1.0 0 -16777216 true "" "plotxy ticks nb-contacts-moyen-par-tick * proba-de-transmission * duree-contagion"
+
+BUTTON
+21
+97
+140
+130
+raz courbes
+clear-all-plots
+NIL
+1
+T
+OBSERVER
+NIL
+NIL
+NIL
+NIL
+1
+
+PLOT
+253
+448
+688
+596
+Total infectées depuis le début
+temps
+NIL
+0.0
+10.0
+0.0
+10.0
+true
+false
+"" ""
+PENS
+"default" 1.0 0 -16777216 true "" "plotxy ticks total-infectees"
+
+SLIDER
+105
+362
+250
+395
+confinement
+confinement
+0
+100
+33.85
+0.01
+1
+%
+HORIZONTAL
+
+SWITCH
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+108
+395
+debut
+debut
+1
+1
+-1000
+
+MONITOR
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+nb confinées
+nb-confinees
+17
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+11
+
+MONITOR
+152
+555
+244
+600
+NIL
+total-infectees
+0
+1
+11
+
+@#$#@#$#@
+## WHAT IS IT?
+
+(a general understanding of what the model is trying to show or explain)
+
+## HOW IT WORKS
+
+(what rules the agents use to create the overall behavior of the model)
+
+## HOW TO USE IT
+
+(how to use the model, including a description of each of the items in the Interface tab)
+
+## THINGS TO NOTICE
+
+(suggested things for the user to notice while running the model)
+
+## THINGS TO TRY
+
+(suggested things for the user to try to do (move sliders, switches, etc.) with the model)
+
+## EXTENDING THE MODEL
+
+(suggested things to add or change in the Code tab to make the model more complicated, detailed, accurate, etc.)
+
+## NETLOGO FEATURES
+
+(interesting or unusual features of NetLogo that the model uses, particularly in the Code tab; or where workarounds were needed for missing features)
+
+## RELATED MODELS
+
+(models in the NetLogo Models Library and elsewhere which are of related interest)
+
+## CREDITS AND REFERENCES
+
+(a reference to the model's URL on the web if it has one, as well as any other necessary credits, citations, and links)
+@#$#@#$#@
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diff --git a/codes/Epidemio/COVID-19/SIR-COVID19_V2Equilibre.nlogo b/codes/Epidemio/COVID-19/SIR-COVID19_V2Equilibre.nlogo
new file mode 100644
index 0000000..3468258
--- /dev/null
+++ b/codes/Epidemio/COVID-19/SIR-COVID19_V2Equilibre.nlogo
@@ -0,0 +1,872 @@
+;
+; Le variables globales
+; max-infectes : on compte le nombre de malade
+;
+globals [
+ initialisation?
+ max-infectes
+ cumul-contacts
+ cumul-contacts-gene
+ nb-confinees
+]
+
+
+;======================================
+; Initialisation de nos pauvres tortues
+;======================================
+
+turtles-own[
+ futur-etat
+ duree-maladie
+ confine?
+]
+
+;
+; Initialisation des tortues
+; - la couleur code l'état blanche = S, rouge = I, vert = R
+; - position aléatoire
+; - non infectée (blanche)
+to initialisation-tortues
+ create-turtles population-initiale [
+ set futur-etat white
+ set size 0.5
+ set duree-maladie 0
+ set confine? false
+ setxy random-pxcor random-pycor
+ ]
+end
+
+;
+; On tire au hasard nb-premiere-infectee tortues.
+; Leur état change donc.
+;
+to souche-infection
+ ask n-of nb-premiere-infectee turtles [
+ set futur-etat red
+ ]
+end
+
+to initialisation
+ ca
+ if (alea-fixe) [random-seed 19]
+ set max-infectes 0
+ set cumul-contacts-gene 0
+ set nb-confinees 0
+ initialisation-tortues
+ souche-infection
+ maj-etat
+ set initialisation? true
+ reset-ticks
+end
+
+to reset
+ ask turtles [die]
+ set max-infectes 0
+ set cumul-contacts 0
+ set cumul-contacts-gene 0
+ set nb-confinees 0
+ initialisation-tortues
+ souche-infection
+ maj-etat
+ reset-ticks
+end
+
+
+;=============================
+; La simulation, le modèle SIR
+;=============================
+
+;
+; Déplacement des tortues. On pourrait avoir un déplacement plus sophistiqué.
+;
+to bouge
+ ask turtles [
+ if (not confine?) [
+ right random 360
+ forward pas
+ ]
+ ]
+end
+
+;
+; Contamination S -> I
+; On compte le nombre de voisines infectées en fonction de la distance
+; La contamination se fait en fonction d'une probabilité
+;
+to infection-des-saines
+ ask turtles with [color = white] [
+ let nombre-de-voisines-infectees (count other turtles with [color = red] in-radius distance-non-sociale)
+ if (random-float 1 < 1 - (((1 - proba-de-transmission) ^ nombre-de-voisines-infectees)))
+ [set futur-etat red]
+ ]
+end
+
+;
+; Les infectées sortent de la maladie, elles deviennent remise I -> R
+;
+to fin-maladie
+ ask turtles with [color = red]
+ [
+ if (duree-maladie > duree-contagion) [ set futur-etat green]
+ ]
+end
+
+
+;=============================
+; Informations sur l'évolution
+;=============================
+to maj-etat
+
+ ask turtles [
+ set color futur-etat
+ if (color = red) [set duree-maladie duree-maladie + 1]
+ if (debut) [
+ if (random-float 1 < confinement / 100) [
+ set confine? true
+ set shape "x"
+ set nb-confinees nb-confinees + 1
+ ]
+ ]
+ ]
+ set debut false
+end
+
+to maj-nb-contacts
+ let cumul 0
+ ask turtles with [color = red]
+ [
+ set cumul cumul + count turtles with [color = white] in-radius distance-non-sociale
+ ]
+ set cumul-contacts cumul
+end
+
+to-report prop-max-infecte
+ report max-infectes * 100 / population-initiale
+end
+
+to-report en-bonne-sante
+ report (count turtles with [color = white or color = green]) * 100 / population-initiale
+end
+
+to-report nb-contacts-moyen-par-tick
+ let n count turtles with [color = red]
+ if-else (n = 0)
+ [ report 0 ]
+ [ report cumul-contacts / n]
+end
+
+
+to-report R0
+ report nb-contacts-moyen-par-tick * proba-de-transmission * duree-contagion
+end
+
+;
+; Lancement de la simulation
+;
+to execute
+ let n count turtles with [color = red]
+ if (n = 0) or (n = population-initiale) [stop]
+ infection-des-saines
+ fin-maladie
+ maj-etat
+ let nb-infectes (count turtles with [color = red])
+ if (nb-infectes > max-infectes) [set max-infectes nb-infectes]
+ maj-nb-contacts
+ bouge
+ tick
+end
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+(how to use the model, including a description of each of the items in the Interface tab)
+
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+
+## THINGS TO TRY
+
+(suggested things for the user to try to do (move sliders, switches, etc.) with the model)
+
+## EXTENDING THE MODEL
+
+(suggested things to add or change in the Code tab to make the model more complicated, detailed, accurate, etc.)
+
+## NETLOGO FEATURES
+
+(interesting or unusual features of NetLogo that the model uses, particularly in the Code tab; or where workarounds were needed for missing features)
+
+## RELATED MODELS
+
+(models in the NetLogo Models Library and elsewhere which are of related interest)
+
+## CREDITS AND REFERENCES
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diff --git a/codes/Epidemio/COVID-19/SIR_COVID19.ods b/codes/Epidemio/COVID-19/SIR_COVID19.ods
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diff --git a/codes/Epidemio/COVID-19/Web/SIR-COVID19_V0.html b/codes/Epidemio/COVID-19/Web/SIR-COVID19_V0.html
index a1e36d4..a15be63 100644
--- a/codes/Epidemio/COVID-19/Web/SIR-COVID19_V0.html
+++ b/codes/Epidemio/COVID-19/Web/SIR-COVID19_V0.html
@@ -87103,9 +87103,7 @@ _nS('controllers.Local'); _root['controllers']['Local']['standalone'] =
<!-- This can be used to insert NetLogo code into this page -->
- <script type="text/nlogo" id="nlogo-code" data-filename="SIR-COVID19_V0.nlogo">
-
-;======================================
+ <script type="text/nlogo" id="nlogo-code" data-filename="SIR-COVID19_V0.nlogo">;======================================
; Initialisation de nos pauvres tortues
;======================================
@@ -87206,7 +87204,6 @@ to execute
bouge
tick
end
-
@#$#@#$#@
GRAPHICS-WINDOW
253
@@ -87352,7 +87349,7 @@ proba-de-transmission
0.09
0.01
1
-%
+NIL
HORIZONTAL
BUTTON
@@ -87393,8 +87390,8 @@ PLOT
1236
447
Évolution de l'infection
-Temps
-%
+Temps en jour
+% individus
0.0
10.0
0.0
--
GitLab